CPI Inflation Prediction Market Odds — Live Data (Updated every 5 min)

UTC · Kalshi + Polymarket · JSON

Answer: Kalshi implies 100.0% and Polymarket implies 0.15% on comparable macro sentiment (spread 99.85pt).

SourceImplied yes %
Kalshi100.0%
Polymarket0.15%

Current cross-venue spread: 99.85pt (Kalshi 100.0% vs Polymarket 0.15%) — comparable macro sentiment, not 1:1 contracts.

Kalshi markets

Implied %MarketTickerYes bid/ask
100.0%Will CPI rise more than -0.3% in May 2026?KXCPI-26MAY-T-0.30.9900 / 1.0000
100.0%Will CPI rise more than -0.2% in May 2026?KXCPI-26MAY-T-0.20.9900 / 1.0000
2.0%Will CPI rise more than 1.0% in May 2026?KXCPI-26MAY-T1.00.0000 / 0.0200
2.0%Will CPI rise more than 0.9% in May 2026?KXCPI-26MAY-T0.90.0000 / 0.0200
3.0%Will CPI rise more than 0.8% in May 2026?KXCPI-26MAY-T0.80.0200 / 0.0300
8.0%Will CPI rise more than 0.7% in May 2026?KXCPI-26MAY-T0.70.0300 / 0.0800
17.0%Will CPI rise more than 0.6% in May 2026?KXCPI-26MAY-T0.60.1500 / 0.1700
35.0%Will CPI rise more than 0.5% in November 2026?KXCPI-26NOV-T0.50.2900 / 0.3500
43.0%Will CPI rise more than 0.4% in November 2026?KXCPI-26NOV-T0.40.3800 / 0.4300
54.0%Will CPI rise more than 0.3% in November 2026?KXCPI-26NOV-T0.30.4800 / 0.5400
73.0%Will CPI rise more than 0.2% in November 2026?KXCPI-26NOV-T0.20.6300 / 0.7300
86.0%Will CPI rise more than 0.1% in November 2026?KXCPI-26NOV-T0.10.7900 / 0.8600

Research data only. Not financial advice. Probabilities from public prediction markets.

Paid cross-venue spread API · Agent spread alerts