CPI Inflation Prediction Market Odds — Live Data (Updated every 5 min)

UTC · Kalshi + Polymarket · JSON

Answer: Kalshi implies 9.0% and Polymarket implies 0.6% on comparable macro sentiment (spread 8.4pt).

SourceImplied yes %
Kalshi9.0%
Polymarket0.6%

Current cross-venue spread: 8.4pt (Kalshi 9.0% vs Polymarket 0.6%) — comparable macro sentiment, not 1:1 contracts.

Kalshi markets

Implied %MarketTickerYes bid/ask
9.0%Will CPI rise more than 1.0% in October 2026?KXCPI-26OCT-T1.00.0700 / 0.0900
13.0%Will CPI rise more than 0.9% in October 2026?KXCPI-26OCT-T0.90.0600 / 0.1300
16.0%Will CPI rise more than 0.8% in October 2026?KXCPI-26OCT-T0.80.1200 / 0.1600
29.0%Will CPI rise more than 0.7% in October 2026?KXCPI-26OCT-T0.70.1300 / 0.1800
20.0%Will CPI rise more than 0.6% in October 2026?KXCPI-26OCT-T0.60.1400 / 0.2000
21.0%Will CPI rise more than 0.9% in December 2026?KXCPI-26DEC-T0.90.0600 / 0.2100
22.0%Will CPI rise more than 0.8% in December 2026?KXCPI-26DEC-T0.80.0700 / 0.2200
24.0%Will CPI rise more than 0.7% in December 2026?KXCPI-26DEC-T0.70.0500 / 0.2400
28.0%Will CPI rise more than 0.6% in December 2026?KXCPI-26DEC-T0.60.0500 / 0.2800
37.0%Will CPI rise more than 0.5% in December 2026?KXCPI-26DEC-T0.50.1000 / 0.3700
48.0%Will CPI rise more than 0.4% in December 2026?KXCPI-26DEC-T0.40.1600 / 0.4800
63.0%Will CPI rise more than 0.3% in December 2026?KXCPI-26DEC-T0.30.1900 / 0.6300

Research data only. Not financial advice. Probabilities from public prediction markets.

Paid cross-venue spread API · Agent spread alerts