Bitcoin Prediction Market Odds — Live Data (Updated every 5 min)

UTC · Kalshi + Polymarket · JSON

Answer: Kalshi implies 1.0% and Polymarket implies 3.85% on comparable macro sentiment (spread 2.85pt).

SourceImplied yes %
Kalshi1.0%
Polymarket3.85%

Current cross-venue spread: 2.85pt (Kalshi 1.0% vs Polymarket 3.85%) — comparable macro sentiment, not 1:1 contracts.

Kalshi markets

Implied %MarketTickerYes bid/ask
1.0%Bitcoin price range on May 23, 2026?KXBTC-26MAY2317-T86749.990.0000 / 0.0100
1.0%Bitcoin price range on May 23, 2026?KXBTC-26MAY2317-T672500.0000 / 0.0100
1.0%Bitcoin price range on May 23, 2026?KXBTC-26MAY2317-B866250.0000 / 0.0100
1.0%Bitcoin price range on May 23, 2026?KXBTC-26MAY2317-B863750.0000 / 0.0100
1.0%Bitcoin price range on May 23, 2026?KXBTC-26MAY2317-B861250.0000 / 0.0100
1.0%Bitcoin price range on May 23, 2026?KXBTC-26MAY2317-B858750.0000 / 0.0100
1.0%Bitcoin price range on May 23, 2026?KXBTC-26MAY2317-B856250.0000 / 0.0100
1.0%Bitcoin price range on May 23, 2026?KXBTC-26MAY2317-B853750.0000 / 0.0100
1.0%Bitcoin price range on May 23, 2026?KXBTC-26MAY2317-B851250.0000 / 0.0100
1.0%Bitcoin price range on May 23, 2026?KXBTC-26MAY2317-B848750.0000 / 0.0100
1.0%Bitcoin price range on May 23, 2026?KXBTC-26MAY2317-B846250.0000 / 0.0100
1.0%Bitcoin price range on May 23, 2026?KXBTC-26MAY2317-B843750.0000 / 0.0100

Research data only. Not financial advice. Probabilities from public prediction markets.

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