Bitcoin Prediction Market Odds — Live Data (Updated every 5 min)

UTC · Kalshi + Polymarket · JSON

Answer: Kalshi implies 1.0% and Polymarket implies 0.05% on comparable macro sentiment (spread 0.95pt).

SourceImplied yes %
Kalshi1.0%
Polymarket0.05%

Current cross-venue spread: 0.95pt (Kalshi 1.0% vs Polymarket 0.05%) — comparable macro sentiment, not 1:1 contracts.

Kalshi markets

Implied %MarketTickerYes bid/ask
1.0%Bitcoin price range on Aug 6, 2026?KXBTC-26AUG0617-T73749.990.0000 / 0.0100
1.0%Bitcoin price range on Aug 6, 2026?KXBTC-26AUG0617-T542500.0000 / 0.0100
1.0%Bitcoin price range on Aug 6, 2026?KXBTC-26AUG0617-B736250.0000 / 0.0100
1.0%Bitcoin price range on Aug 6, 2026?KXBTC-26AUG0617-B733750.0000 / 0.0100
1.0%Bitcoin price range on Aug 6, 2026?KXBTC-26AUG0617-B731250.0000 / 0.0100
1.0%Bitcoin price range on Aug 6, 2026?KXBTC-26AUG0617-B728750.0000 / 0.0100
1.0%Bitcoin price range on Aug 6, 2026?KXBTC-26AUG0617-B726250.0000 / 0.0100
1.0%Bitcoin price range on Aug 6, 2026?KXBTC-26AUG0617-B723750.0000 / 0.0100
1.0%Bitcoin price range on Aug 6, 2026?KXBTC-26AUG0617-B721250.0000 / 0.0100
1.0%Bitcoin price range on Aug 6, 2026?KXBTC-26AUG0617-B718750.0000 / 0.0100
1.0%Bitcoin price range on Aug 6, 2026?KXBTC-26AUG0617-B716250.0000 / 0.0100
1.0%Bitcoin price range on Aug 6, 2026?KXBTC-26AUG0617-B713750.0000 / 0.0100

Research data only. Not financial advice. Probabilities from public prediction markets.

Paid cross-venue spread API · Agent spread alerts